Monday, May 12, 2014

Afghanistan Logistics after we Leave

Right now Afghanistan is able to "hold its own," in combat operations against insurgent forces, however, how long will that last once the United States leaves along with its logistics support?

Challenges faced by Afghanistan:
- Lack of industrial base from which to produce supplies
- Lack of developed/ secure transportation network to move the supplies on

As can be seen on figure one, the road infrastructure (http://mom.gov.af/Content/files/Afghanistan%20Road%20Infrastructure.jpg) system in Afghanistan, even under peace time conditions, would be barely adequate to transport forces, becuase it omits several provinces-leaving them unconected from the country.  This problem is exacerbated by the ongoing insurgency that Afghanistan is facing which means that these already insuficent lines of communication become even less sufficient due to security. 

While as Afghanistan is rich in natural resources, as can be seen in figure two (http://mom.gov.af/Content/files/Afghanistan%20Civil%20Aviation%20Infrostructre.jpg), Afghanistan is not lacking in terms of natural resources, rather they are lacking in industrial capablity to turn those raw resources into finished consumer and military goods.  Many people will find it odd that I place consumer goods ahead of military goods, however, when one looks at recent insurgencies within the region the pattern of lack of economic opportunties creating insurgents become apparent.  Thus if the state can increase its consumer good production these goods can be sold either domestically or internationoaly to help fund the goverment. 


The two major considerations that arent being taken into account are:
1- the Karzi goverment is corrupt
2- the concept of a nation of Afghanistan is not widely supported within the territoral boundaries of Afghanistan instead tribal loyalties often out weigh national priorities. 

1 comment:

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